We try to fix election polling (update)
Original episode audio — courtesy of Planet Money
Planet Money examines election polling’s participation problem: people are not answering calls or agreeing to speak with pollsters, putting confidence in polling under pressure. The team visits Marist College, home of the Marist Poll, learns how polling works and conducts calls itself. Its central experiment is to take an idea from economics and test whether it can help polling. The show notes do not identify the hosts, guests or the specific economic idea.
The episode combines polling history, current polling science and hands-on experience with the techniques pollsters use to keep respondents engaged through a complete survey. Working with a polling firm gives the team a setting in which to test its proposed solution rather than merely discuss it. However, the notes provide no sample sizes, response rates, experimental design or findings, so they do not establish how effective the intervention is or whether any improvement in participation translates into better election estimates.
Originally published before the 2022 midterm elections, the episode now revisits the experiment while Marist continues testing the idea. The update explores what the work might reveal about the 2026 midterms, connecting an ongoing operational challenge to the next election cycle. The unresolved question is whether the approach can meaningfully strengthen polling; the notes establish continued testing, not a demonstrated fix. They also leave open how broadly the findings might apply beyond the setting in which Marist is testing them.
Why it matters
Professionals using election polls for planning should distinguish efforts to improve survey participation from evidence that forecasts have become more reliable. Before relying on a claimed polling improvement, ask what was tested, how success was measured and whether the findings apply to the electorate of interest. The continued Marist testing makes this a developing research effort rather than a settled solution. For decisions tied to the 2026 midterms, treat the proposed intervention as something to monitor, not an established correction to polling uncertainty.
Key takeaways
- The episode identifies unanswered phone calls and unwillingness to speak with pollsters as central threats to polling.
- Planet Money visits Marist College, home of the Marist Poll, to learn polling methods and conduct calls.
- The team tests an idea drawn from economics with a polling firm; the notes do not disclose the mechanism.
- Survey completion is a specific focus: the team learns techniques pollsters use to keep people answering questions.
- The original episode appeared before the 2022 midterm elections.
- Marist is still testing the proposed approach, and the update considers what it might reveal about the 2026 midterms.
- The notes report no quantitative results or evidence that the approach improves election estimates.
Have questions about this episode? Ask the PodPulse Digest Copilot inside the app. Open the app
“People aren't picking up the phone.”
Books, articles & resources mentioned
Spotted in this episode — worth a look if you want to go further.
- Book
Planet Money: A Guide to the Economic Forces That Shape Your Life
The notes promote this as Planet Money’s book for further reading.
- Resource
Our weekly longform Planet Money newsletter
Planet Money
The notes list this newsletter as an additional reading resource.
- Resource
Our weekly Indicator round-up newsletter
The notes list this newsletter alongside other reading resources.
- Resource
Marist Poll
Marist College
It is the polling organization visited by the team and is continuing to test the proposed intervention.
- Resource
Partyline
The notes list this title in the episode’s music credits.
- Resource
The Danzig Connection
The notes list this title in the episode’s music credits.
- Resource
Saku
The notes list this title in the episode’s music credits.
- Tool
Instagram
The notes identify this platform as a place to follow the show.
- Tool
TikTok
The notes identify this platform as a place to follow the show.
- Tool
YouTube
The notes identify this platform as a place to follow the show.
- Tool
Facebook
The notes identify this platform as a place to follow the show.
- Resource
NPR+
NPR
The notes promote this public-media support offering, with bonus episodes and sponsor-free listening among the show’s perks.
- Tool
pcm.adswizz.com
The notes direct listeners here for sponsorship-related personal-data information and preference management.
- Resource
NPR Privacy Policy
NPR
The notes link to this policy as part of their privacy disclosures.
Related briefings

More from Planet Money
Is this how the great international borrowing spree ends?
Planet Money examines how rising interest rates could end a global borrowing spree, with France’s debt pressures at the center.

More from Planet Money
Charles Ponzi's scheme (plus a new scam)
Planet Money’s “Charles Ponzi's scheme (plus a new scam)” traces how an international postage coupon sparked Ponzi’s pursuit of investors.

Investing · All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
AI Cyber Panic, Ken Griffin's Bubble Warning, The Fall of France?
All-In examines Ken Griffin’s AI bubble warning, PHP cybersecurity threats and France’s political and debt-market risks.
Never miss key insights from your favorite shows.
Get your daily podcast inbox free — prioritized around your goals, with Deep Dives, audio briefings and the Copilot.
Start your 7-day free trialIndependent summary by PodPulse Digest based on the episode's public show notes. Not affiliated with Planet Money. All rights to the original audio belong to its creators.